Elizabeth Warren surpasses Joe Biden in major Iowa poll

Make sure to let us know what you think... we now have comments turned ON below the article!

From the moment he first launched his campaign earlier this year, former Vice President Joe Biden has consistently polled nationwide as the clear and obvious frontrunner among the many Democratic 2020 candidates — that is, until now.

A major poll in Iowa just showed a new candidate in the lead for the first time this primary cycle, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, who surpassed Biden and now has a two-point advantage — not to mention a broader and firmer base of support among the state’s likely Democratic caucus-goers.

Warren takes the lead

The Des Moines Register, in conjunction with CNN and Mediacom, conducted the poll of likely Democratic caucus-goers between Sept. 14-18 and found that 22% of respondents favored Warren as opposed to 20% who preferred Biden. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders ranked third with 11% support to round out the top tier of candidates.

The second tier of candidates included South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 9%, California Sen. Kamala Harris at 6%, as well as Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar and New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker at 3%, respectively. Another 12 candidates filled out the remainder of the field with the support of 2% or less among Iowa voters.

“This is the first major shakeup” in an otherwise stagnated race, explained J. Ann Selzer, president of polling firm Selzer & Co. “It’s the first time we’ve had someone other than Joe Biden at the top of the leader board.”

However, Selzer noted that the poll showed that only about 20% of respondents were firmly committed to their choice of candidate, while 63% said they could still be persuaded to support someone else. She said, “The data in this poll seem to suggest the field is narrowing, but my sense is there’s still opportunity aplenty. The leaders aren’t all that strong. The universe is not locked in.”

Expanding support base

To wit, 71% of likely caucus-goers said Warren was a candidate they were actively considering — the most of any candidate — a number which included 22% who ranked her as their first choice, 20% who said she was their second choice, and 29% who said they would at least consider her.

In comparison, only 60% of respondents said they were considering Biden. Likewise, while Warren received a “favorable” rating from 75% of respondents, Biden was viewed favorably by 66%, down significantly from the 82% who viewed him favorably back in December. Meanwhile, Biden’s unfavorable rating over that same time frame has nearly doubled from 15% to 29%.

Another area of concern for Biden is the fact that he was once the clear-cut leader in this particular poll in December with 32%, a number that has steadily declined over the months while Warren — who initially polled at 8% in December — has seen her level of support steadily increase to the point of overtaking Biden.

On top of that, while Biden does best with older voters, he has failed miserably at gaining traction with younger demographics, a key segment of the electorate with which Warren has demonstrated real strength. Even more troubling for Biden is the fact that former supporters of Sanders — who has also been sliding downward in the polls — seem to be coalescing around Warren more than Biden or any of the other candidates.

Potentially ominous signs for Biden

To be sure, there are still several months to go until Iowa caucus-goers officially cast their votes for the Democratic candidates, and a lot can change between now and then.

That said, momentum is clearly something Warren currently has on her side and that Biden is sorely lacking. If she continues to surge while the former VP continues to falter, the day may soon come when Biden throws in the towel and ends what increasingly appears to be another futile campaign for the presidency.

120 Responses

  1. I have not checked in here for some time because I thought it was getting boring, but the last several posts are great quality so I guess I’ll add you back to my daily bloglist. You deserve it my friend 🙂

  2. Magnificent goods from you, man. I’ve understand your stuff previous to and you’re just extremely fantastic. I really like what you’ve acquired here, really like what you’re saying and the way in which you say it. You make it enjoyable and you still care for to keep it sensible. I can not wait to read much more from you. This is really a wonderful site.

  3. Hi there, just became alert to your blog through Google, and found that it is truly informative. I am gonna watch out for brussels. I will be grateful if you continue this in future. Lots of people will be benefited from your writing. Cheers!

  4. I keep listening to the news bulletin talk about getting free online grant applications so I have been looking around for the most excellent site to get one. Could you advise me please, where could i find some?

  5. I wish to get across my appreciation for your kind-heartedness in support of all those that have the need for help with this important field. Your very own commitment to getting the message all through has been exceptionally valuable and has in every case allowed people just like me to get to their goals. Your amazing informative tips and hints signifies a lot to me and even more to my office colleagues. With thanks; from each one of us.

  6. You really make it seem so easy with your presentation but I find this matter to be really something which I think I would never understand. It seems too complicated and extremely broad for me. I am looking forward for your next post, I will try to get the hang of it!

  7. With havin so much written content do you ever run into any problems of plagorism or copyright violation? My website has a lot of completely unique content I’ve either written myself or outsourced but it looks like a lot of it is popping it up all over the web without my permission. Do you know any solutions to help protect against content from being ripped off? I’d truly appreciate it.

  8. What i don’t realize is actually how you’re not actually much more well-liked than you may be right now. You’re very intelligent. You realize thus considerably relating to this subject, produced me personally consider it from numerous varied angles. Its like men and women aren’t fascinated unless it is one thing to accomplish with Lady gaga! Your own stuffs nice. Always maintain it up!

  9. I do agree with all the ideas you’ve offered in your post. They are very convincing and will certainly work. Still, the posts are very short for beginners. May just you please lengthen them a bit from next time? Thanks for the post.

  10. Hello there! I know this is somewhat off topic but I was wondering if you knew where I could get a captcha plugin for my comment form? I’m using the same blog platform as yours and I’m having problems finding one? Thanks a lot!

  11. Thank you, I have just been searching for information about this subject for ages and yours is the best I’ve came upon so far. But, what in regards to the conclusion? Are you positive in regards to the supply?

  12. Howdy just wanted to give you a quick heads up. The words in your content seem to be running off the screen in Opera. I’m not sure if this is a format issue or something to do with browser compatibility but I figured I’d post to let you know. The layout look great though! Hope you get the problem fixed soon. Kudos

  13. I have to express my appreciation for your kind-heartedness supporting all those that must have help with this content. Your very own commitment to getting the message across had been especially interesting and has continually encouraged workers much like me to achieve their targets. The valuable guide implies so much to me and still more to my office colleagues. Many thanks; from each one of us.

  14. Admiring the hard work you put into your site and detailed information you provide. It’s awesome to come across a blog every once in a while that isn’t the same old rehashed information. Excellent read! I’ve bookmarked your site and I’m adding your RSS feeds to my Google account.

  15. I like what you guys are up also. Such smart work and reporting! Carry on the excellent works guys I have incorporated you guys to my blogroll. I think it will improve the value of my web site :).

  16. It’s a shame you don’t have a donate button! I’d without a doubt donate to this outstanding blog! I suppose for now i’ll settle for bookmarking and adding your RSS feed to my Google account. I look forward to fresh updates and will talk about this site with my Facebook group. Chat soon!

  17. Thank you a lot for giving everyone an exceptionally remarkable possiblity to read articles and blog posts from this web site. It’s usually so sweet and as well , stuffed with amusement for me personally and my office friends to search your site not less than thrice in a week to study the new things you will have. And lastly, we are actually contented for the magnificent points served by you. Selected 3 ideas in this post are ultimately the most efficient we have all ever had.

  18. Have you ever thought about including a little bit more than just your articles? I mean, what you say is valuable and everything. Nevertheless just imagine if you added some great visuals or videos to give your posts more, “pop”! Your content is excellent but with pics and video clips, this blog could undeniably be one of the best in its field. Amazing blog!

  19. My spouse and I absolutely love your blog and find nearly all of your post’s to be exactly I’m looking for. can you offer guest writers to write content for you personally? I wouldn’t mind producing a post or elaborating on most of the subjects you write with regards to here. Again, awesome site!

  20. Woah! I’m really loving the template/theme of this blog. It’s simple, yet effective. A lot of times it’s very hard to get that “perfect balance” between usability and visual appearance. I must say you have done a very good job with this. In addition, the blog loads super quick for me on Firefox. Excellent Blog!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

Popular