Best case scenario not good: 100,000 to 200,000 dead

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Last week, week one of the US shutdown, President Trump expressed hope that the American economy could be open for business by April 12, Easter Sunday this year.

Those hopes were dashed by predictions that cases and US deaths from the coronavirus will be peaking at that time. The new target date to reopen the economy is April 30. 

Dr. Deborah Birx, a member of the White House Coronavirus Task Force, warned that even if the US does everything right, we could still be looking at 200,000 dead.

Testing, antibodies, and numbers

The US now has the most reported cases of coronavirus of any country on the planet, but that might be because we have done the most testing of any country so far. As of today, one million people have been tested in the US. The latest testing development is an Abbot Labarotory POC, point of care test, that produces results within 5 to 15 minutes. The test received emergency authorization from the FDA.

The other test being developed is the antibody test. Several labs, the Mayo Clinic, the University of Minnesota, and others are working on antibody tests. The entire town of Telluride, Colorado is being tested with an antibody test right now.

Antibody tests can identify who has been exposed to COVID-19 and has either been asymptomatic or had a mild case of the virus and now has immunity. Governor Tim Walz of Minnesota explained the significance of knowing whether someone has been exposed and has immunity: “Identifying people with immunity to the virus “gives us the ability [to know] who wouldn’t need to be quarantined, who could be out and not infecting others.”

Knowing who has immunity could set a significant number of the US population free and help areas of the country that aren’t experiencing high rates of infection to get back to work.

According to STAT:

The “serological” tests — which rely on drawn blood, not a nasal or throat swab — can identify people who were infected and have already recovered from Covid-19, including those who were never diagnosed, either because they didn’t feel particularly sick or they couldn’t get an initial test. Scientists expect those individuals will be safe from another infection for at least some time — so the tests could signal who could be prioritized to return to work or serve as a frontline health worker.

Antibody testing can also help scientists to develop a treatment using blood plasma from coronavirus survivors. This type of treatment has been used in the past during the 1918 Spanish Flu, the Ebola crisis, and Avian Flu.

Again, according to STAT:

Patients who have recovered from a disease have permanent antibodies generated by the immune system floating in their blood plasma, the liquid component of blood. To turn that into a drug, the plasma is harvested, tested for safety, and purified to isolate those protective antibodies. When injected into a new patient, the “plasma-derived therapy” — also known as convalescent plasma — provides “passive immunity” until the patient’s immune system can generate its own antibodies.

Antibody testing is also important for scientists who need numbers and data to be able to assess the true impact of Covid-19 here in the US. With a truer number of cases, scientists can more accurately calculate the actual death rate which so far has been difficult to do.

Rachel Maddow eats crow

Rachel Maddow had to eat crow as the USNS Comfort arrived in New York today. She said that it wasn’t possible for the ship to make it to New York for weeks.

For your enjoyment, watch:

32 Responses

  1. PERHAPS NOW OUR NATION WILL WAKE UP AND ASK GOD FOR FORGIVENESS AND HELP. ONLY GOD CAN HELP US DEFEAT THIS PANDEMIC.

  2. While a majority of Americans are pulling together Maddow, Schiff, Pelosi etc are pulling against them. If I didn’t know better I would think they are Chinese agents.

  3. We are so thankful we live in this country, we are so thankful to our President, the task force he has chosen and the work they are doing. We are amazed at how they have pulled companies to change their manufacturing to prepare for our needs. They are doing absolutely everything that can humanly be done and beyond ~ thank you President Trump for your unbelievably superb service ~ your love of this country is obvious to us and others in foreign countries.

  4. I don’t have any more information than the government people but I hope they’re wrong. It will be my luck they are wrong, the other way. I’m one of those in danger, I’m 74 and live alone. If I go down there is nobody to call for help. So all of should hope and pray that the results of this pandemicare less then what they predict.

  5. I was so thankful to hear today’s Fox news while y’all were on today, April 1. I’ve been concerned for the last few days that our enemies may strike while we are busy with the pandemic. Low and behold today that topic was covered. Hell yeah USA. Thank you leaders.

  6. I find these 2 doctors estimations of the CoronaVirus absurd. Funny it started in China and after a full 3 months and many more people the death rate is 3000 for 81,000 cases.
    I truly believe this Fauci is working with the Demon Rats plus this other lady doctor. There is no evidence anywhere in the world of these ridiculous numbers. The longer you keep the economy down, the bigger chance for the Deep State to take over. Mr. President, these 2 doctors are working against you. Research them. There is a doctor Stiva or Shiva who is a scientist for immunity. The Next News Network recommended listening to him instead of the Democrats. These are evil doctors. I don’t believe for a minute there will be 200,000 deaths. Funny LOWES has stayed open and no cases. Go figure. Get the country back to work and take these very evil Deep State down for good!

    1. I don’t know why the President lets these people broadcast numbers like that. If he’s so worried about the economy, why scare investors into selling more and more. NOT HELPFUL at all. No matter what he does though he’s going to catch it from those infected with a far more lethal disease than covid 19. It’s called Trump Derangement Syndrome. History may remember our president in part as the great scapegoat.

  7. Cynthia T : Do you actually believe the numbers and information given by China? It is a communist country, that would say whatever makes the regime look better. Thousands of urns have been seen around cremation buildings. People there know better than to argue with their leaders.

  8. My greatest fear is this…is this our new normal? To shut down our economy, isolate ourselves for 3 months every time a new virus circulates? Now that the government sees how vulnerable we are to control is this the end of our lives as we knew it?

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